English Premier League · Kick-off 13 September at 15:30 UTC

Manchester United — Manchester City

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)3.5
Form: Manchester United (last 5)WWLWD
Form: Manchester City (last 5)DLWWW
Head to head (Manchester United)2 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Final score

About the match

Manchester United enters this Manchester derby in inconsistent form, having secured 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss from their 3 Premier League matches this season, placing them 13th in the league with 4 points. Their recent form shows a mixed bag of W W L W D, including a 2-2 draw against Everton in their last league outing. The team relies heavily on Bruno Fernandes, who leads them with 3 goals and 1 assist in 3 appearances, showcasing his crucial role in their attacking output. However, their defense has shown vulnerabilities, as evidenced by a 0-2 loss to Hull City. Facing their city rivals, United will look to capitalize on individual brilliance despite their early season struggles.

Manchester City comes into this derby in strong form, holding a perfect record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses from their 3 Premier League matches this season, which places them 2nd in the table with 9 points. Their recent results of D L W W W indicate a solid run, including a recent 1-0 victory over Coventry City and a dominant 4-1 win against Crystal Palace. Star striker Erling Haaland has been instrumental, scoring 3 goals in 3 matches and leading the team in total shots with 14. The team's overall goal difference stands at a healthy +5, reflecting their offensive power and defensive solidity early in the campaign. They aim to continue their winning momentum and assert dominance in this crucial fixture.

Последняя очная встреча 2026-01-17 в English Premier League: Manchester United — Manchester City, Manchester United выиграл(а) со счётом 2:0.

Form

Manchester United

WWLWD

Manchester City

DLWWW

Head to head

  • 2026-01-17 — 2-0
  • 2025-09-14 — 3-0

FAQ

What is the AI prediction for Manchester United vs Manchester City?
Evenly matched. The AI rules out a draw: double chance 12 at 73%. AI accuracy on this market — 76% over 30 days.
What is the goals total prediction for Manchester United vs Manchester City?
The Sportly AI model expects 3.5 goals on average in Manchester United vs Manchester City. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 68% of the time, and rules out the losing option 76% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 76% (456); match result (1X2): 68% (186); total 2.5: 56% (373).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for English Premier League?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 57% of the time (329 matches over 30 days). Over the last 30 days in English Premier League, 4 of 9 main AI picks landed — 44%. Only finished matches with a known result are counted. Overall, 243 of 456 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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