International Friendly · Kick-off 23 September at 16:00 UTC

Gibraltar — Sao Tome and Principe

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)3.1
Form: Gibraltar (last 5)LLLWW
Form: Sao Tome and Principe (last 5)LLWLL
Final score

About the match

Gibraltar enters this International Friendly match with a mixed recent form, securing two wins after three consecutive losses. They defeated Cayman Islands 4-1 and British Virgin Islands 4-0 in their last two outings, demonstrating offensive capability. However, prior to that, they suffered significant defeats, including a 0-6 loss to Czechia and a 0-3 loss to Croatia. Gibraltar maintains an average of 1.60 goals per match while conceding 1.80 goals per match, indicating a tendency for open games. Their possession stands at 33%, and they only keep a clean sheet in 20% of their matches.

Sao Tome and Principe comes into this friendly with a struggling form, having lost their last two matches without scoring a goal. They suffered a 0-1 defeat to Ethiopia and a 0-3 loss to the same opponent. Their recent record includes three losses in their last five matches, though they did manage a 1-0 win against Malawi. Sao Tome and Principe's offensive output is notably low, averaging just 0.20 goals per match, while conceding a high 2.60 goals per match. They register 0.20 shots on target per match and maintain an average possession of 50%, yet convert rarely.

Form

Gibraltar

LLLWW

Sao Tome and Principe

LLWLL

FAQ

What is the goals total prediction for Gibraltar vs Sao Tome and Principe?
The Sportly AI model expects 3.1 goals on average in Gibraltar vs Sao Tome and Principe. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 67% of the time, and rules out the losing option 77% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 77% (448); match result (1X2): 67% (181); total 2.5: 56% (368).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for International Friendly?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 56% of the time (325 matches over 30 days). Overall, 238 of 448 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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