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Portuguese Primeira Liga · Kick-off 20 September at 14:30 UTC

Vitória de Guimaraes — Moreirense

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)1.7
Form: Vitória de Guimaraes (last 5)LWLDL
Form: Moreirense (last 5)LWLLW
Head to head (Vitória de Guimaraes)2 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Vitória de GuimaraesVitória de Guimaraes1:1MoreirenseMoreirense
Final score

About the match

Vitória de Guimaraes enters this match in 14th place in the Portuguese Primeira Liga with 4 points from 6 games, showing a season record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Their recent form is poor with 3 losses and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. The team averages only 0.40 goals per game, but boasts a strong xG of 2.05 per match, suggesting underperformance in finishing. Defensively, they concede 0.60 goals per game and have kept 3 clean sheets out of 5, indicating a solid backline.

Moreirense occupies 13th place in the Portuguese Primeira Liga with 7 points from 6 games, holding a season record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their recent form is inconsistent, with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches. They average 1.00 goal per game while conceding 1.40 goals per game. Their xG per match is 1.08, which aligns more closely with their goal-scoring output. Moreirense also exhibits a significantly lower possession of 31% and fewer shots on target, averaging 1.60 per match.

Последняя очная встреча 2026-01-30 в Portuguese Primeira Liga: Vitória de Guimaraes — Moreirense, Vitória de Guimaraes выиграл(а) со счётом 1:0.

Form

Vitória de Guimaraes

LWLDL

Moreirense

LWLLW

Head to head

  • 2026-01-30 — 1-0
  • 2025-08-23 — 2-0

FAQ

What is the AI prediction for Vitória de Guimaraes vs Moreirense?
Evenly matched. The AI rules out a Moreirense win: double chance 1X at 75%. AI accuracy on this market — 76% over 30 days.
What is the goals total prediction for Vitória de Guimaraes vs Moreirense?
The Sportly AI model expects 1.7 goals on average in Vitória de Guimaraes vs Moreirense. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 68% of the time, and rules out the losing option 76% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 76% (456); match result (1X2): 68% (186); total 2.5: 56% (373).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for Portuguese Primeira Liga?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 57% of the time (329 matches over 30 days). Over the last 30 days in Portuguese Primeira Liga, 4 of 6 main AI picks landed — 67%. Only finished matches with a known result are counted. Overall, 243 of 456 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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