UEFA Nations League · Kick-off 29 September at 18:45 UTC

Spain — Croatia

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)2.7
Form: Spain (last 5)WDDWW
Form: Croatia (last 5)WLLWW
Head to head (Spain)3 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Final score

About the match

Spain enters this UEFA Nations League final stage match with strong form, demonstrating their offensive capabilities. They have won 3 of their last 5 matches, including a recent 3-2 victory against England in the Nations League. Offensively, Spain averages 2.00 goals per match and generates an xG of 1.88 per match, indicating consistent threat. Their defense is also solid, conceding only 0.80 goals per match and keeping 2 clean sheets in their last 5 outings. Key players like Álex Baena and Lamine Yamal contribute significantly to their attack, with each scoring 1 goal in their last appearances. Spain maintains high possession, averaging 60% with an 88% passing accuracy.

Croatia approaches this final stage match with a mixed recent record, winning 3 and losing 2 of their last 5 matches, including a 2-1 victory over Czechia in their most recent Nations League fixture. Their offensive output is lower than their opponent, with an average of 1.40 goals per match and an xG of 1.14 per match. Defensively, Croatia concedes 1.20 goals per match and has only managed 1 clean sheet in their last 5 games, highlighting potential vulnerabilities. While their passing accuracy is decent at 87%, their average possession stands at 48%. Luka Modrić remains a key figure, scoring 1 goal in his last appearance, providing vital experience and attacking impetus.

Последняя очная встреча 2024-06-15 в Euro Championship: Spain — Croatia, Spain выиграл(а) со счётом 3:0.

Form

Spain

WDDWW

Croatia

WLLWW

Head to head

  • 2024-06-15 — 3-0
  • 2023-06-18 — 0-0
  • 2021-06-28 — 3-5
  • 2018-11-15 — 3-2
  • 2018-09-11 — 6-0
  • 2016-06-21 — 2-1

FAQ

What is the AI prediction for Spain vs Croatia?
Evenly matched. The AI rules out a Croatia win: double chance 1X at 78%. AI accuracy on this market — 76% over 30 days.
What is the goals total prediction for Spain vs Croatia?
The Sportly AI model expects 2.7 goals on average in Spain vs Croatia. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 68% of the time, and rules out the losing option 76% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 76% (456); match result (1X2): 68% (186); total 2.5: 56% (373).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for UEFA Nations League?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 57% of the time (329 matches over 30 days). Over the last 30 days in UEFA Nations League, 26 of 40 main AI picks landed — 65%. Only finished matches with a known result are counted. Overall, 243 of 456 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

Similar matches

More predictions in Telegram

Pre-match alerts, live probability updates and full analytics.

Open in Telegram