UEFA Nations League · Kick-off 29 September at 18:45 UTC

San Marino — Albania

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)2.2
Form: San Marino (last 5)LDLLL
Form: Albania (last 5)LLLLW
Head to head (San Marino)0 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Final score

Who has the edge

AI sees a clear edge for Albania

The exact pick, percentages, bets and totals are in the Sportly AI app.

About the match

San Marino enters this UEFA Nations League match in extremely poor form, having secured only one draw in their last five outings (L D L L L), including a heavy 0-7 defeat to Finland. The team struggles significantly in attack, averaging just 0.40 goals per match this season with a meager 0.2 shots per match, highlighting their offensive impotence. Defensively, they concede an average of 2.60 goals per match, indicating serious vulnerabilities at the back. Their possession stands at a low 25%, and they have kept only 1 clean sheet in 5 games. Key midfielder Lorenzo Capicchioni leads the team in accurate passes (10), while Gabriel Capicchioni has the most total shots (1), underscoring the team's overall struggle to create chances.

Albania comes into this fixture with a mixed recent record of L L L L W, but managed a crucial 2-0 victory over Belarus in their last UEFA Nations League game, ending a four-match losing streak. The team exhibits a stronger attacking presence, averaging 0.80 goals per match and a notable 4.6 shots per match, with 1.00 shots on target per game. Defensively, Albania is much more solid, conceding only 0.60 goals per match and keeping 2 clean sheets in 5 matches. Their commanding possession of 68% and 90% pass accuracy allow them to control games effectively. Key players like Ernest Muçi, who has 1 goal and 3 total shots in 1 match, and Mario Mitaj, with 52 accurate passes, are crucial to their performance.

Последняя очная встреча 2021-09-08 в World Cup - Qualification Europe: Albania — San Marino, Albania выиграл(а) со счётом 5:0.

Form

San Marino

LDLLL

Albania

LLLLW

Head to head

  • 2021-09-08 — 5-0
  • 2021-03-31 — 0-2

FAQ

What is the goals total prediction for San Marino vs Albania?
The Sportly AI model expects 2.2 goals on average in San Marino vs Albania. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 67% of the time, and rules out the losing option 77% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 77% (448); match result (1X2): 67% (181); total 2.5: 56% (368).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for UEFA Nations League?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 56% of the time (325 matches over 30 days). Over the last 30 days in UEFA Nations League, 22 of 35 main AI picks landed — 63%. Only finished matches with a known result are counted. Overall, 238 of 448 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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