UEFA Nations League · Kick-off 24 September at 18:45 UTC

Portugal — Wales

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)2.8
Form: Portugal (last 5)WDWWW
Form: Wales (last 5)WDDDL
Head to head (Portugal)1 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Final score

Who has the edge

AI sees a clear edge for Portugal

The exact pick, percentages, bets and totals are in the Sportly AI app.

About the match

Portugal enters this UEFA Nations League fixture in formidable form, securing four wins and one draw in their last five matches, including a dominant 9-1 victory over Armenia. The team demonstrates a strong offensive capability with an average of 1.60 goals per match and an xG of 1.81, indicating consistent creation of high-quality chances. Defensively, they are solid, conceding only 0.60 goals per match and keeping two clean sheets in their last five outings. Their high ball possession of 57% and 88% pass accuracy allow them to control the game's tempo effectively.

Wales approaches this match with a less convincing recent record, registering one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five games. While they average a higher 2.20 goals per match, this includes a 7-1 thrashing of North Macedonia, and their xG stands at a modest 0.60, suggesting some overperformance in front of goal. Their defense is a concern, as they concede 1.20 goals per match and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five fixtures, with both teams scoring in 100% of these games. Wales also takes significantly fewer shots on target, averaging only 0.60 per match.

Последняя очная встреча 2016-07-06 в Euro Championship: Portugal — Wales, Portugal выиграл(а) со счётом 2:0.

Form

Portugal

WDWWW

Wales

WDDDL

Head to head

  • 2016-07-06 — 2-0

FAQ

What is the goals total prediction for Portugal vs Wales?
The Sportly AI model expects 2.8 goals on average in Portugal vs Wales. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 67% of the time, and rules out the losing option 77% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 77% (448); match result (1X2): 67% (181); total 2.5: 56% (368).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for UEFA Nations League?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 56% of the time (325 matches over 30 days). Over the last 30 days in UEFA Nations League, 22 of 35 main AI picks landed — 63%. Only finished matches with a known result are counted. Overall, 238 of 448 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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