UEFA Nations League · Kick-off 25 September at 18:45 UTC

Poland — Bosnia-Herzegovina

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)2.7
Form: Poland (last 5)DLLWW
Form: Bosnia-Herzegovina (last 5)DDDDD
Final score

Who has the edge

AI sees a clear edge for Poland

The exact pick, percentages, bets and totals are in the Sportly AI app.

About the match

Poland enters this UEFA Nations League match with a mixed recent form, recording two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five outings. Their last match was a 2-2 draw against Nigeria in June 2026. Season statistics show Poland averages 4.8 corners per match, significantly higher than their opponents' 1.6. They also commit 8.2 fouls per match, suggesting an aggressive playing style. While their recent form has been inconsistent, securing wins against Albania and Malta, they also suffered losses to Ukraine and Sweden.

Bosnia-Herzegovina comes into this fixture with a notable streak of five consecutive draws in their recent matches, including a 1-1 draw against Panama and a 0-0 draw with North Macedonia. Their season statistics indicate a lower corner output, averaging 3 corners per match, but concede 5 corners per match to opponents. They show a higher foul count compared to Poland, committing 12 fouls per match. Despite their inability to secure a win recently, their defensive resilience has prevented defeats against strong opponents like Italy and Wales.

Form

Poland

DLLWW

Bosnia-Herzegovina

DDDDD

FAQ

What is the goals total prediction for Poland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?
The Sportly AI model expects 2.7 goals on average in Poland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 67% of the time, and rules out the losing option 77% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 77% (448); match result (1X2): 67% (181); total 2.5: 56% (368).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for UEFA Nations League?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 56% of the time (325 matches over 30 days). Over the last 30 days in UEFA Nations League, 22 of 35 main AI picks landed — 63%. Only finished matches with a known result are counted. Overall, 238 of 448 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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