UEFA Nations League · Kick-off 24 September at 18:45 UTC

Liechtenstein — Lithuania

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)2.8
Form: Liechtenstein (last 5)LWLLL
Form: Lithuania (last 5)LDLWL
Final score

Who has the edge

AI sees a clear edge for Lithuania

The exact pick, percentages, bets and totals are in the Sportly AI app.

About the match

Liechtenstein enters this UEFA Nations League fixture against Lithuania having struggled significantly in their recent outings, with four losses and only one win in their last five matches. The team's offensive output is notably low, averaging only 0.40 goals per match, while conceding a substantial 3.00 goals per match. They also register a mere 1.50 corners per match and a low 37% possession, indicating a defensive and often outplayed approach. Liechtenstein managed to keep a clean sheet in only 1 of their last 5 games, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.

Lithuania approaches this match with a slightly better, though still inconsistent, recent record of one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five fixtures. The team scores an average of 0.60 goals per match and concedes 1.60 goals per match, demonstrating a more balanced performance compared to their opponents. They generate more attacking opportunities, averaging 3.00 corners per match and maintaining 31% possession, albeit with an xG of 0.47 per match. Lithuania kept one clean sheet in their last five matches, similar to Liechtenstein.

Form

Liechtenstein

LWLLL

Lithuania

LDLWL

FAQ

What is the goals total prediction for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
The Sportly AI model expects 2.8 goals on average in Liechtenstein vs Lithuania. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 67% of the time, and rules out the losing option 77% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 77% (448); match result (1X2): 67% (181); total 2.5: 56% (368).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for UEFA Nations League?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 56% of the time (325 matches over 30 days). Over the last 30 days in UEFA Nations League, 22 of 35 main AI picks landed — 63%. Only finished matches with a known result are counted. Overall, 238 of 448 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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