Coppa Italia · Kick-off 15 September at 16:00 UTC

Genoa — Sudtirol

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)2.6
Form: Genoa (last 5)WLLLD
Form: Sudtirol (last 5)DWDWD
Head to head (Genoa)1 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Final score

Who has the edge

AI sees a clear edge for Genoa

The exact pick, percentages, bets and totals are in the Sportly AI app.

About the match

Genoa enters this Coppa Italia match in a concerning run of form, with only one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five outings. Their recent Serie A performance includes a 1-1 draw against Frosinone and a 1-4 defeat to Como, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. This season, Genoa averages 1.20 goals per match but concedes 1.80 goals per match, indicating issues at the back. Their xG per match stands at 0.94, suggesting they create fewer high-quality chances than their scoring output. The team has failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches. Key attacking contributions come from Alessandro Marcandalli with 1 goal and Morten Frendrup with 1 assist, showing some individual bright spots despite collective struggles.

Sudtirol comes into the Coppa Italia tie in strong form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with two wins and three draws. Their recent Serie B results include a 1-1 draw against Modena and a 2-0 victory over Catanzaro, demonstrating resilience. This season, Sudtirol boasts a solid defense, conceding only 0.80 goals per match, significantly better than their opponent, and has kept 2 clean sheets in 5 matches. Offensively, they average 1.40 goals per match, outscoring Genoa. However, their xG per match is a low 0.48, which suggests their scoring might be somewhat unsustainable. Niklas Pyyhtia leads the team with 1 goal, and Simone Tronchin has contributed 1 assist.

Последняя очная встреча 2023-05-01 в Serie B: Sudtirol — Genoa, Sudtirol и Genoa сыграли вничью 0:0.

Form

Genoa

WLLLD

Sudtirol

DWDWD

Head to head

  • 2023-05-01 — 0-0
  • 2022-12-08 — 2-0

FAQ

What is the goals total prediction for Genoa vs Sudtirol?
The Sportly AI model expects 2.6 goals on average in Genoa vs Sudtirol. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 68% of the time, and rules out the losing option 76% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 76% (456); match result (1X2): 68% (186); total 2.5: 56% (373).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for Coppa Italia?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 57% of the time (329 matches over 30 days). Overall, 243 of 456 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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