UEFA Nations League · Kick-off 5 October at 18:45 UTC

France — Belgium

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)2.4
Form: France (last 5)LWWWD
Form: Belgium (last 5)WWWLW
Head to head (France)0 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Final score

About the match

France enters this UEFA Nations League fixture following a mixed run of results, showing inconsistency in their recent performances. Their last five matches include three wins, one draw, and one loss, with the most recent result being a 1-1 draw against Italy. Key to their attack is Michael Olise, who has scored 2 goals in 3 matches, showcasing his importance upfront. Defensively, France concedes an average of 3.2 corners per match to opponents, indicating a solid defensive setup against wide attacks. However, the team commits an average of 11.6 fouls per match, suggesting a tendency for physical play that could lead to free-kicks or cards. This match against Belgium, a team they recently defeated, offers an immediate opportunity for France to solidify their position in the group.

Belgium approaches this match with strong form, having secured four wins and one loss in their last five outings. Their recent victory was a convincing 3-0 triumph over Türkiye, demonstrating their offensive capabilities. Their only defeat in this run came against France, the opponent in this fixture. Offensively, Belgium averages 3.6 corners per match, showing some attacking impetus, though less than their opponents. Kevin De Bruyne is a pivotal figure, matching France's top scorer with 2 goals in 3 matches and also leading the team with 10 total shots. The team averages 12.4 fouls per match, slightly more than France, which might be a factor in a tightly contested game.

Последняя очная встреча 2026-09-28 в UEFA Nations League: Belgium — France, France выиграл(а) со счётом 1:0.

Form

France

LWWWD

Belgium

WWWLW

Head to head

  • 2026-09-28 — 0-1

FAQ

What is the AI prediction for France vs Belgium?
Evenly matched. The AI rules out a draw: double chance 12 at 72%. AI accuracy on this market — 77% over 30 days.
What is the goals total prediction for France vs Belgium?
The Sportly AI model expects 2.4 goals on average in France vs Belgium. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 67% of the time, and rules out the losing option 77% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 77% (448); match result (1X2): 67% (181); total 2.5: 56% (368).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for UEFA Nations League?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 56% of the time (325 matches over 30 days). Over the last 30 days in UEFA Nations League, 22 of 35 main AI picks landed — 63%. Only finished matches with a known result are counted. Overall, 238 of 448 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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