UEFA Nations League · Kick-off 29 September at 18:45 UTC

Bulgaria — Estonia

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)1.5
Form: Bulgaria (last 5)WWLDL
Form: Estonia (last 5)LWDLD
Head to head (Bulgaria)0 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Final score

Who has the edge

AI sees a clear edge for Bulgaria

The exact pick, percentages, bets and totals are in the Sportly AI app.

About the match

Bulgaria enters this UEFA Nations League fixture with a mixed recent form, displaying two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Their attacking output averages 0.80 goals per match, while their defense concedes 1.00 goal per match. They demonstrate a higher offensive presence with 2.8 shots per match and a dominant 55% possession. Defensive efforts are led by Dimitar Velkovski with 6 defensive interventions. The team will aim to leverage their offensive statistics against Estonia.

Estonia's recent form is less convincing, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings. Their scoring average stands at 0.60 goals per match, while their defense has been more solid, conceding 0.60 goals per match. They record fewer offensive attempts with only 2.0 shots per match and maintain 40% possession. Robi Saarma leads their defensive efforts with 5 interventions, highlighting their more conservative approach.

Последняя очная встреча 2026-09-29 в UEFA Nations League: Bulgaria — Estonia, Bulgaria и Estonia сыграли вничью 0:0.

Form

Bulgaria

WWLDL

Estonia

LWDLD

Head to head

  • 2026-09-29 — 0-0

FAQ

What is the goals total prediction for Bulgaria vs Estonia?
The Sportly AI model expects 1.5 goals on average in Bulgaria vs Estonia. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 67% of the time, and rules out the losing option 77% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 77% (448); match result (1X2): 67% (181); total 2.5: 56% (368).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for UEFA Nations League?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 56% of the time (325 matches over 30 days). Over the last 30 days in UEFA Nations League, 22 of 35 main AI picks landed — 63%. Only finished matches with a known result are counted. Overall, 238 of 448 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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