UEFA Europa League · Kick-off 16 September at 19:00 UTC

Bayer Leverkusen — NK Celje

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)3.4
Form: Bayer Leverkusen (last 5)WWLWD
Form: NK Celje (last 5)DLWDL
Final score

Who has the edge

AI sees a clear edge for Bayer Leverkusen

The exact pick, percentages, bets and totals are in the Sportly AI app.

About the match

Bayer Leverkusen demonstrates strong offensive capabilities this season, averaging 2.80 goals per match and generating an xG of 2.50 per match. Their form is generally positive with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five outings, including a dominant 4-0 victory against 1. FC Union Berlin. The team maintains significant control with 65% possession and an 89% pass accuracy, suggesting a dominant playing style. However, they have conceded an average of 1.20 goals per match, indicating some defensive vulnerability, as seen in their recent 2-2 draw against FC Augsburg and a 2-3 loss to SV Elversberg. Despite several injuries to key players like E. Ben Seghir and N. Tella, their overall statistical superiority remains evident.

NK Celje enters this match with a less convincing recent form, recording only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches. Their attacking output is considerably lower compared to their opponent, averaging just 1.00 goal per match. Defensively, NK Celje struggles, conceding an average of 1.80 goals per match, and has kept only 1 clean sheet in 5 matches. Their recent UEFA Champions League Qualifying campaign saw them lose 1-2 to Slovan Bratislava and draw 1-1, highlighting their challenges against stronger opposition. The team faces further hurdles with key players A. Kotnik (red card) and J. Pisek (injury) being unavailable for this fixture.

Form

Bayer Leverkusen

WWLWD

NK Celje

DLWDL

FAQ

What is the goals total prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje?
The Sportly AI model expects 3.4 goals on average in Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 68% of the time, and rules out the losing option 76% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 76% (456); match result (1X2): 68% (186); total 2.5: 56% (373).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for UEFA Europa League?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 57% of the time (329 matches over 30 days). Overall, 243 of 456 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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