Spanish LALIGA · Kick-off 16 September at 17:00 UTC

Atlético Madrid — Osasuna

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)3
Form: Atlético Madrid (last 5)DWLLW
Form: Osasuna (last 5)DWWLL
Head to head (Atlético Madrid)1 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Final score

Who has the edge

AI sees a clear edge for Atlético Madrid

The exact pick, percentages, bets and totals are in the Sportly AI app.

About the match

Atlético Madrid enters this match in 5th place in Spanish La Liga with 10 points after 5 games played, maintaining a season record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their recent form shows a mixed bag with a 3-0 victory over Real Sociedad and a 2-2 draw against Villarreal in their last five league outings, alongside a 2-1 defeat to Liverpool in the Champions League. The team demonstrates a strong attacking presence, averaging 1.80 goals per match and generating 8.0 shots per match, with Álex Baena leading the scoring with 3 goals. However, they concede an average of 1.60 goals per match, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities. Dávid Hancko is a key play-maker with 2 assists and 326 accurate passes.

Osasuna occupies 11th place in the Spanish La Liga standings with 7 points from 5 matches, holding a season record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their recent performances show a dip, with consecutive losses against Espanyol (0-2) and Alavés (2-5) following two wins and a draw. The team averages 1.00 goal per match while conceding 1.60 goals per match. Ante Budimir is their main offensive threat, scoring 4 goals in 5 matches and registering 16 total shots. Despite generating 10.6 shots per match, their accuracy is lower compared to their opponent. They also commit significantly more fouls, averaging 13.0 fouls per match.

Последняя очная встреча 2026-05-12 в Spanish LALIGA: Osasuna — Atlético Madrid, Atlético Madrid выиграл(а) со счётом 2:1.

Form

Atlético Madrid

DWLLW

Osasuna

DWWLL

Head to head

  • 2026-05-12 — 1-2
  • 2025-10-18 — 1-0

FAQ

What is the goals total prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna?
The Sportly AI model expects 3 goals on average in Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 68% of the time, and rules out the losing option 76% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 76% (456); match result (1X2): 68% (186); total 2.5: 56% (373).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for Spanish LALIGA?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 57% of the time (329 matches over 30 days). Over the last 30 days in Spanish LALIGA, 8 of 12 main AI picks landed — 67%. Only finished matches with a known result are counted. Overall, 243 of 456 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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