Dutch Eredivisie · Kick-off 15 September at 18:00 UTC

Ajax Amsterdam — Willem II

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)4.7
Form: Ajax Amsterdam (last 5)WWWLW
Form: Willem II (last 5)LLDLD
Head to head (Ajax Amsterdam)5 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Final score

Who has the edge

AI sees a clear edge for Ajax Amsterdam

The exact pick, percentages, bets and totals are in the Sportly AI app.

About the match

Ajax Amsterdam enters this Dutch Eredivisie fixture against Willem II in strong form, sitting 5th in the league table with 10 points after 5 matches. Their recent performance includes 4 wins in the last 5 games, with a dominant 5-1 victory over Fortuna Sittard recently. The team boasts a formidable attack, averaging 3.80 goals per match with an xG of 1.99. Defensively, they concede 1.80 goals per match, but have kept only 1 clean sheet in 5 games. Key players like Davy Klaassen, with 2 goals, and Steven Berghuis, with 2 assists and 12 total shots, are crucial to their offensive output.

Willem II is in a critical position, occupying 17th place in the Dutch Eredivisie with just 2 points from 5 matches, placing them in the relegation zone. Their recent form is concerning, with 3 losses and 2 draws in their last 5 outings, including a 0-3 home defeat to Excelsior. The team struggles offensively, scoring only 1.00 goal per match with an xG of 1.38, and conceding a high 2.80 goals per match. They have not kept a single clean sheet this season. Devin Haen is their leading scorer with 3 goals, but the team's overall defensive frailty is a major concern.

Последняя очная встреча 2025-04-13 в Eredivisie: Willem II — Ajax, Ajax выиграл(а) со счётом 2:1.

Form

Ajax Amsterdam

WWWLW

Willem II

LLDLD

Head to head

  • 2025-04-13 — 1-2
  • 2024-10-27 — 1-0
  • 2022-02-19 — 0-1
  • 2021-12-02 — 5-0
  • 2021-01-28 — 3-1
  • 2020-12-23 — 1-1

FAQ

What is the goals total prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs Willem II?
The Sportly AI model expects 4.7 goals on average in Ajax Amsterdam vs Willem II. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 67% of the time, and rules out the losing option 77% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 77% (448); match result (1X2): 67% (181); total 2.5: 56% (368).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for Dutch Eredivisie?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 56% of the time (325 matches over 30 days). Over the last 30 days in Dutch Eredivisie, 8 of 12 main AI picks landed — 67%. Only finished matches with a known result are counted. Overall, 238 of 448 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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