Dutch Eredivisie · Kick-off 19 September at 18:00 UTC

Ajax Amsterdam — Excelsior

Updated:

Key figures

Expected goals (xG)2.3
Form: Ajax Amsterdam (last 5)WWLWW
Form: Excelsior (last 5)LDWWL
Head to head (Ajax Amsterdam)0 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Final score

Who has the edge

AI sees a clear edge for Ajax Amsterdam

The exact pick, percentages, bets and totals are in the Sportly AI app.

About the match

Ajax Amsterdam enters this match in strong form, sitting 4th in the Dutch Eredivisie with 13 points from 6 games and a goal difference of +12. The team has a seasonal record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. In their last five matches, Ajax secured 4 wins, including a dominant 5-1 victory against Willem II and a 5-1 away win at Fortuna Sittard. Their only recent setback was a 1-3 loss to PSV Eindhoven. Ajax scores an average of 0.80 goals per match while conceding 1.40, and maintains 51% possession. They have kept 2 clean sheets in 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 40% of their games.

Excelsior is 7th in the Dutch Eredivisie with 10 points from 6 games and a goal difference of +6. Their seasonal record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Excelsior's recent form is mixed, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five outings. They secured a notable 3-0 away victory against Willem II and a 2-1 home win against Sparta Rotterdam. Excelsior scores an average of 1.80 goals per match, while conceding 0.60 goals per match, and has kept 2 clean sheets in 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 60% of their games.

Последняя очная встреча 2026-02-01 в Dutch Eredivisie: Excelsior — Ajax Amsterdam, Excelsior и Ajax Amsterdam сыграли вничью 2:2.

Form

Ajax Amsterdam

WWLWW

Excelsior

LDWWL

Head to head

  • 2026-02-01 — 2-2
  • 2025-12-17 — 2-7
  • 2025-11-22 — 1-2

FAQ

What is the goals total prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs Excelsior?
The Sportly AI model expects 2.3 goals on average in Ajax Amsterdam vs Excelsior. Specific total lines and their probabilities are in the Telegram app.
How accurate is Sportly AI by market?
Sportly AI calls the match result right 67% of the time, and rules out the losing option 77% of the time (last 30 days). double chance: 77% (448); match result (1X2): 67% (181); total 2.5: 56% (368).
How accurate are Sportly AI predictions for Dutch Eredivisie?
On high-confidence picks, Sportly AI is right 56% of the time (325 matches over 30 days). Over the last 30 days in Dutch Eredivisie, 8 of 12 main AI picks landed — 67%. Only finished matches with a known result are counted. Overall, 238 of 448 main picks landed over 30 days: 53% vs 33% for picking an outcome at random.
Where can I see the full match breakdown?
The full breakdown — every bet, the probabilities and model confidence — is in our Sportly AI Telegram app. Telegram

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